tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Hebron via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 19:35 PHL → 21:38 CLT
    AA 1661 · American · 2h 03m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 23:57 CVG
    AA 626 · American · 1h 28m · 67% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 22mPHL 19:35 to CVG 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.