tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Des Moines via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:15 PHX → 20:53 DFW
    AA 1663 · American · 2h 38m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 DFW → 23:58 DSM
    AA 1371 · American · 1h 54m · 54% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 44mPHX 16:15 to DSM 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.