tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → San Antonio via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 16:15 PHX → 20:53 DFW
    AA 1663 · American · 2h 38m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 DFW → 23:04 SAT
    AA 3097 · American · 1h 08m · 51% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 48mPHX 16:15 to SAT 23:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.