tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Charleston via Washington: arrives on time 27%

  1. 13:20 ORD → 16:25 DCA
    AA 1675 · American · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:22 DCA → 19:07 CHS
    AA 1654 · American · 1h 49m · 53% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 51mORD 13:20 to CHS 19:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.