tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Washington: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:20 ORD → 16:25 DCA
    AA 1675 · American · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:16 DCA → 19:55 LAX
    AA 880 · American · 5h 39m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 35mORD 13:20 to LAX 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.