tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hartford via Washington: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:20 ORD → 16:25 DCA
    AA 1675 · American · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 DCA → 18:49 BDL
    AA 5136 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 29m · 70% on time, 20.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (20.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 29mORD 13:20 to BDL 18:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.