tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:41 CLT → 09:05 PHX
    AA 1678 · American · 4h 24m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 12:04 SMF
    AA 2630 · American · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 23mCLT 07:41 to SMF 12:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.