tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Fort Myers via Charlotte: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:45 ORD → 19:59 CLT
    AA 1683 · American · 2h 14m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:56 CLT → 22:52 RSW
    AA 1176 · American · 1h 56m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Myers is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 07mORD 16:45 to RSW 22:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.