tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Providence via Charlotte: arrives on time 46%

  1. 16:45 ORD → 19:59 CLT
    AA 1683 · American · 2h 14m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:52 CLT → 22:57 PVD
    AA 2566 · American · 2h 05m · 73% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Providence is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 12mORD 16:45 to PVD 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.