tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:45 ORD → 19:59 CLT
    AA 1683 · American · 2h 14m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 CLT → 22:34 DTW
    AA 419 · American · 1h 48m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 49mORD 16:45 to DTW 22:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.