tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Columbia via Charlotte: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:45 ORD → 19:59 CLT
    AA 1683 · American · 2h 14m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:04 CLT → 22:19 COU
    AA 3990 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 14m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 33mORD 16:45 to COU 22:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.