tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Hartford via Philadelphia: arrives on time 48%

  1. 13:45 MIA → 16:43 PHL
    AA 1684 · American · 2h 58m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 PHL → 19:06 BDL
    AA 5857 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 21m · 67% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 21mMIA 13:45 to BDL 19:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.