tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:00 CMH → 19:44 LAX
    AA 1686 · American · 4h 44m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 LAX → 22:06 SFO
    AA 6260 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 11mCMH 18:00 to SFO 22:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.