tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → New Orleans via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 08:30 PHX → 15:48 CLT
    AA 1688 · American · 4h 18m · 89% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:34 CLT → 17:41 MSY
    AA 2203 · American · 2h 05m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 09mPHX 08:30 to MSY 17:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.