tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 42%

  1. 18:00 CMH → 19:09 PHX
    AA 1689 · American · 4h 09m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:23 PHX → 22:23 SFO
    AA 686 · American · 2h 00m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip7h 23mCMH 18:00 to SFO 22:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.