tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 52%

  1. 06:45 BZN → 10:47 DFW
    AA 1693 · American · 3h 02m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:10 DFW → 17:56 JFK
    AA 1049 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip9h 11mBZN 06:45 to JFK 17:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.