tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Newark via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 06:45 BZN → 10:47 DFW
    AA 1693 · American · 3h 02m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 DFW → 16:20 EWR
    AA 2861 · American · 3h 33m · 56% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 2 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 35mBZN 06:45 to EWR 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.