tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 13:57 CVG → 15:29 CLT
    AA 1701 · American · 1h 32m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 CLT → 17:42 ORD
    AA 536 · American · 2h 23m · 68% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 44mCVG 13:57 to ORD 17:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.