tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Harrisburg via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:59 DFW → 21:49 CLT
    AA 1703 · American · 2h 50m · 67% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 CLT → 00:25 MDT +1 day
    AA 5217 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 40m · 66% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Harrisburg is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 26mDFW 17:59 to MDT 00:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.