tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 21%

  1. 17:59 DFW → 21:49 CLT
    AA 1703 · American · 2h 50m · 67% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 CLT → 23:49 TYS
    AA 5511 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 12m · 44% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 51mDFW 17:59 to TYS 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.