Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Orlando via Chicago: arrives on time 30%
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14:11 LGA → 16:00 ORDAA 1705 · American · 2h 54m · 66% on time, 6.9% cancelled
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1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:12 ORD → 21:05 MCOAA 486 · American · 2h 53m · 46% on time, 4.8% cancelled
Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 54mLGA 14:11 to MCO 21:05, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.