Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 40%
-
14:11 LGA → 16:00 ORDAA 1705 · American · 2h 54m · 66% on time, 6.9% cancelled
-
1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
17:00 ORD → 18:12 MSNAA 3717 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 70% on time, 8.1% cancelled
Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 01mLGA 14:11 to MSN 18:12, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.