Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 32%
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14:11 LGA → 16:00 ORDAA 1705 · American · 2h 54m · 66% on time, 6.9% cancelled
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59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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16:59 ORD → 19:22 TVCAA 6380 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 59% on time, 10.6% cancelled
Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (10.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 11mLGA 14:11 to TVC 19:22, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.