tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:04 CLT → 16:58 DFW
    AA 1709 · American · 2h 54m · 80% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:50 DFW → 22:30 LGA
    AA 1329 · American · 3h 40m · 42% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip7h 26mCLT 15:04 to LGA 22:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.