tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:37 CVG → 19:42 PHX
    AA 1725 · American · 4h 05m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:36 PHX → 21:43 LAS
    AA 2106 · American · 1h 07m · 68% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 06mCVG 18:37 to LAS 21:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.