tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:45 AUS → 10:36 ORD
    AA 1726 · American · 2h 59m · 80% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:56 ORD → 13:47 MEM
    AA 3675 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 51m · 84% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 02mAUS 07:45 to MEM 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.