tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:00 TUL → 10:30 CLT
    AA 1729 · American · 2h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:37 CLT → 12:56 PHX
    AA 588 · American · 4h 19m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 56mTUL 07:00 to PHX 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.