tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Denver: arrives on time 35%

  1. 15:15 ORD → 17:00 DEN
    AA 1734 · American · 2h 45m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:12 DEN → 19:53 LAX
    AA 4958 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 38mORD 15:15 to LAX 19:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.