tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Springfield via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 12:34 DEN → 16:31 ORD
    AA 1744 · American · 2h 57m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:29 ORD → 19:17 SGF
    AA 3626 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 72% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Springfield is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 43mDEN 12:34 to SGF 19:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.