tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sioux Falls via Denver: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:00 ORD → 11:44 DEN
    AA 1744 · American · 2h 44m · 85% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 56m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:40 DEN → 16:23 FSD
    UA 5378 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 23mORD 10:00 to FSD 16:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.