tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Bozeman via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 09:08 DEN → 12:56 ORD
    AA 1747 · American · 2h 48m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 ORD → 16:13 BZN
    AA 1639 · American · 3h 24m · 63% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 05mDEN 09:08 to BZN 16:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.