tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 09:08 DEN → 12:56 ORD
    AA 1747 · American · 2h 48m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:46 ORD → 17:18 JAX
    AA 3317 · American · 2h 32m · 66% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 10mDEN 09:08 to JAX 17:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.