tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rapid City via Denver: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:41 ORD → 08:24 DEN
    AA 1747 · American · 2h 43m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:15 DEN → 12:29 RAP
    UA 1623 · United · 1h 14m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 48mORD 06:41 to RAP 12:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.