tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 35%

  1. 10:00 DEN → 15:31 CLT
    AA 1754 · American · 3h 31m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:17 CLT → 17:53 XNA
    AA 5443 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 34m · 60% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip6h 51mDEN 10:00 to XNA 17:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.