tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Sioux Falls via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 10:38 DEN → 13:40 DFW
    AA 1756 · American · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:46 DFW → 16:54 FSD
    AA 1878 · American · 2h 08m · 54% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 16mDEN 10:38 to FSD 16:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.