tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 34%

  1. 10:38 DEN → 13:40 DFW
    AA 1756 · American · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 DFW → 14:57 PHX
    AA 2108 · American · 2h 27m · 60% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 19mDEN 10:38 to PHX 14:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.