tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Dayton via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:38 DEN → 13:40 DFW
    AA 1756 · American · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 DFW → 18:02 DAY
    AA 5156 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 32m · 69% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dayton is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 24mDEN 10:38 to DAY 18:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.