tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Phoenix: arrives on time 79%

  1. 12:15 DEN → 13:08 PHX
    AA 1757 · American · 1h 53m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:49 PHX → 20:30 XNA
    AA 4086 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 41m · 82% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 15mDEN 12:15 to XNA 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.