tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Cleveland via Philadelphia: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:13 DEN → 20:59 PHL
    AA 1759 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 PHL → 23:39 CLE
    AA 2253 · American · 1h 39m · 74% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 26mDEN 15:13 to CLE 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.