tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Charleston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:13 DEN → 20:59 PHL
    AA 1759 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 PHL → 23:56 CHS
    AA 5068 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 01m · 59% on time, 12.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (12.1% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip6h 43mDEN 15:13 to CHS 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.