tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Grand Rapids via Philadelphia: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:13 DEN → 20:59 PHL
    AA 1759 · American · 3h 46m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 23:58 GRR
    AA 5493 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 08m · 73% on time, 12.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (12.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 45mDEN 15:13 to GRR 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.