Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Denver → Norfolk via Chicago: arrives on time 40%
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14:22 DEN → 18:16 ORDAA 1760 · American · 2h 55m · 60% on time, 2.9% cancelled
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58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:14 ORD → 22:39 ORFAA 4510 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 76% on time, 6.5% cancelled
Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 17mDEN 14:22 to ORF 22:39, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.