tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:41 DSM → 17:11 CLT
    AA 1763 · American · 2h 30m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:23 CLT → 19:51 PHX
    AA 1073 · American · 4h 28m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip8h 10mDSM 13:41 to PHX 19:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.