tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 07:00 TPA → 08:50 DFW
    AA 1768 · American · 2h 50m · 81% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 DFW → 10:42 AUS
    AA 1413 · American · 1h 02m · 75% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 42mTPA 07:00 to AUS 10:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.