tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 53%

  1. 07:00 TPA → 08:50 DFW
    AA 1768 · American · 2h 50m · 81% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:53 DFW → 11:53 BHM
    AA 5222 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 76% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 53mTPA 07:00 to BHM 11:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.