tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Baltimore via Charlotte: arrives on time 53%

  1. 20:19 SDF → 21:55 CLT
    AA 1775 · American · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 CLT → 00:14 BWI +1 day
    AA 1318 · American · 1h 29m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip3h 55mSDF 20:19 to BWI 00:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.