tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 56%

  1. 20:19 SDF → 21:55 CLT
    AA 1775 · American · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:51 CLT → 00:41 DTW +1 day
    AA 370 · American · 1h 50m · 76% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 22mSDF 20:19 to DTW 00:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.