tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 57%

  1. 20:19 SDF → 21:55 CLT
    AA 1775 · American · 1h 36m · 81% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:17 CLT → 23:48 BNA
    AA 526 · American · 1h 31m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 29mSDF 20:19 to BNA 23:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.