tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Louisville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:06 BOS → 16:44 PHL
    AA 1776 · American · 1h 38m · 72% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:14 PHL → 21:38 SDF
    AA 4335 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 24m · 63% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 32mBOS 15:06 to SDF 21:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.