tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:41 DTW → 15:35 CLT
    AA 1781 · American · 1h 54m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:43 CLT → 18:39 EWR
    AA 1811 · American · 1h 56m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 58mDTW 13:41 to EWR 18:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.